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Was Ptolemy a fraud? A rediscovered star catalogue changed the verdict

In 1977 physicist Robert Newton branded Claudius Ptolemy history's most successful scientific fraud, accusing the Alexandrian astronomer of inventing or doctoring his data. Then in 2022, fragments of Hipparchus's long-lost star catalogue surfaced beneath a reused manuscript, and they showed that Ptolemy had not simply copied and adjusted his predecessor's work.

Ptolemy lived in or near Alexandria in Roman Egypt during the second century AD; his birthplace is unknown and his death is estimated between about 165 and 175. His Latin first name, Claudius, suggests Roman citizenship, perhaps granted to an ancestor by Claudius or Nero. A ninth-century Persian astronomer wrongly counted him among Egypt's royal Ptolemies, and Arabic writers later nicknamed him the Upper Egyptian.

His great astronomy text, the Almagest, is the only complete astronomical treatise to survive from antiquity. Babylonian astronomers could predict events arithmetically without a model of the sky, while early Greeks drew geometric pictures that predicted nothing; Hipparchus first combined the two, and Ptolemy built on him using observations spread over eight centuries. Its tables let readers work out planetary positions for any date, and its 48 constellations, covering only the northern sky, underlie today's list. The name Almagest is a garbled Arabic form of a Greek phrase meaning the greatest treatise.

The doubts are real. Readings he said he took at noon come out as if made half an hour later, and an autumn equinox he claimed to have measured carefully in 132 is off by about 30 hours, matching a prediction Hipparchus made 278 years earlier. Owen Gingerich called some numbers fishy yet rejected the charge of fraud, and other scholars point to warped instruments or atmospheric refraction. The 2022 fragments indicate that Ptolemy blended Hipparchus's catalogue with his own sightings and perhaps other sources.

His geocentric system was the only mathematically rigorous one of its kind and dominated astronomy in Europe, the Middle East and North Africa for more than a thousand years, surviving in Arabic before two Latin translations in the twelfth century. He also wrote the Geography, the astrological Tetrabiblos, and Handy Tables that became the model for later astronomical tables.

Source: Ptolemy

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