India's pursuit of carrier-based dominance in a contested Indo-Pacific

India's pursuit of carrier-based dominance in a contested Indo-Pacific
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In short: To counter China's expanding naval reach, India is pivoting toward high-end maritime self-reliance. The development of the HAL TEDBF marks a shift from off-the-shelf procurement to indigenous engineering, aiming to secure critical sea lanes against increasingly assertive regional rivals.

The Indo-Pacific has become a primary theater for strategic and economic rivalry in the 21st century, largely driven by China's forceful naval stance and its construction of artificial islands. To maintain a rules-based order and secure vital sea lanes of communication (SLOCs), India is pursuing an integrated strategy that combines military modernization with multilateral partnerships like the Quad.

This geopolitical necessity provides the backdrop for India's domestic defense ambitions. This strategy revolves around the HAL Twin Engine Deck Based Fighter (TEDBF). Developed by the Aeronautical Development Agency and manufactured by Hindustan Aeronautics Limited, it is designed to replace the Mikoyan MiG-29K and future Rafale batches on STOBAR carriers. The aircraft will feature folding wings and an arresting hook for efficient carrier operations. It is designed to perform a wide range of roles including electronic warfare, anti-surface warfare, and buddy-buddy refueling.

The project was officially initiated in 2019–20 following the Indian Navy's withdrawal from a previous single-engine carrier-based fighter program in 2016, which was deemed overweight for naval requirements. While hardware is essential, India's defense posture also involves a push toward indigenization and technological integration. Despite being an IT hub, the country faces challenges in institutionalizing military AI compared to civilian applications. To become a true military power against technologically advanced adversaries, India must move beyond siloed developments of drones and radars toward a diversified, well-oiled ecosystem that supports its long-term maritime goals. The Navy previously considered the Rafale and Boeing F/A-18E/F Super Hornet during trials at an SBTF in Goa. The current prototype flight is now expected to occur by 2032.

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