When private profit meets public interest, who actually bears the risk?

Public Interest vs Private Profit - Mark Hoban · 30:01 · Video: Gresham College · Watch at the source

In short: The line between private business and public policy is blurring. From ancient maritime insurance to modern flood protection, the way we manage risk is shifting. We are moving toward a model where the state, the private sector, and the individual are inextricably linked in a complex web of shared consequences.

The traditional boundaries of risk management are being reshaped. While insurance is inherently a private contract, it serves a profound public interest. For example, compulsory third-party motor insurance ensures that victims of accidents are compensated regardless of the driver's fault. Similarly, the transition from privately funded fire brigades to public fire services demonstrates how the balance between private profit and public good can shift based on societal needs. Traders in Rhodes as early as 1000 BC established the first insurance contracts to protect cargo losses. Today, conduct regulation and disclosure frameworks ensure that insurers maintain a complete picture of the risks they assume. These mechanisms prevent consumers from having to rely on the state for compensation.

In modern markets, the state often intervenes to restore equilibrium when private markets fail to provide adequate protection. A key example is Flood Re, a product created because people were being priced out of insurance or forced to accept five-figure excesses. Here, the government, insurers, and homeowners collaborate to ensure that the financial consequences of natural disasters do not fall solely on the individual or the state. Private flood coverage helps minimize the risk of the state having to pay for disaster losses. This complex interplay seeks to balance personal responsibility with private profit. It also aims to manage the financial fallout from sickness, accidents, and death.

However, this interplay creates a vulnerability known as 'holdup.' In critical industries like defense, pharmaceuticals, or finance, the government may stipulate demand or guarantee returns. When a firm's failure would cause devastating societal costs, managers may engage in riskier behavior, knowing the state is obligated to step in. This creates a paradox where the very policies designed to protect the public interest can be exploited by profit-seeking entities to secure favorable terms or bailouts. Governments may purchase a dominant portion of a firm's output at specific prices or limit competition to achieve socially optimal outcomes. They might also reimburse costs or set firm profits directly. In some cases, the state is forced to ensure that firms do not exit businesses that are considered systemically important.

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