Climate change is expected to increase marine heat waves in the Baltic Sea
In short: Researchers using regional climate models projected that the Baltic Sea will experience higher water temperatures and a significant increase in the frequency and duration of marine heat waves. These changes are expected to be most pronounced in the coastal areas of the southern Baltic Sea, excluding regions where frequent upwelling occurs.
The study used dynamical downscaling to regionalize four global Earth System Models, incorporating specific biogeochemical data for the Baltic Sea. While the models show significant shifts in heat cycles and sea ice, they could not identify clear salinity changes due to uncertainties in wind and sea level projections. The findings suggest that while climate change impacts the ecosystem, human-led nutrient reduction plans remain the most effective way to improve the sea's ecological health.
Why it matters: While climate change will intensify marine heat waves, active nutrient management is the most effective way to protect the Baltic Sea's health.
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Sources
- Source: Research: Meier et al. (2022). Oceanographic regional climate projections for the Baltic Sea until 2100. Earth System Dynamics. · cc-by
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